๐ฐ Capital Markets & Net Lease
Net Lease Cap Rates โ Q1 2026
Q1 2026: Single-Tenant Net Lease Cap Rates Decline โ Investors Paying Premium for Credit Quality
Two fresh reports from the first week of April confirm net lease cap rates compressed further in Q1 2026. Chain Store Age (April 2) reported cap rates declined quarter-over-quarter, continuing a trend from late 2025. GlobeSt (April 10) framed the move as a "flight to quality" โ investors aggressively competing for credit-tenant assets (QSR drive-thrus, dollar stores, auto parts) while pulling back from weaker credits. Demand for best-in-class QSR NNN assets โ particularly Chick-fil-A, Dutch Bros, Raising Cane's, and Whataburger โ remains intense as new-construction supply of these pads stays constrained. The market is pricing quality, not just yield.
BBM Relevance: Cap rate compression on credit QSR NNN is a direct tailwind for Thaxton and Kohlenberg pad exit pricing. If you're delivering a Chick-fil-A or Raising Cane's NNN pad in 2026โ2027 into a compressed-cap market, your exit math improves materially versus year-ago assumptions. Worth revisiting exit cap rate inputs in both pro formas โ there may be upside to book.
๐ฐ Chain Store Age / GlobeSt โ April 2 & 10, 2026
QSR NNN Transactions โ Sun Belt
SRS Real Estate Completes $84M of Chick-fil-A NNN Property Sales in Sun Belt โ Validates QSR Pad Demand
SRS Real Estate Partners announced April 10 it closed $84 million in Chick-fil-A NNN property sales across the Sun Belt โ one of the largest single-broker QSR NNN transaction clusters reported this cycle. The deals span multiple states but are concentrated in high-growth Sun Belt markets aligned with Chick-fil-A's aggressive expansion footprint. The pricing and volume confirm that institutional investors are actively bidding on QSR NNN assets in Texas and surrounding markets, with buyer demand far outpacing available inventory. Chick-fil-A's corporate real estate team is one of the most active in the country in 2026, with hundreds of new openings planned nationally.
BBM Relevance: This is the clearest possible validation of the QSR pad strategy on FM 812 corridor sites. $84M in Chick-fil-A NNN deals closing simultaneously tells you: (1) the buyer pool is deep and institutional, (2) exit liquidity is strong, and (3) Chick-fil-A is actively expanding โ meaning LOI outreach to their real estate team on Thaxton/Kohlenberg is well-timed. SRS Real Estate would be a natural broker conversation for exit strategy.
๐ฐ GlobeSt โ April 10, 2026
๐ช New Braunfels Market
New Braunfels โ Commercial Retail
The Hill Marketplatz to Add New Commercial Space in New Braunfels โ Retail Absorption Ongoing
Community Impact reported April 2 that The Hill Marketplatz development is moving forward with new commercial space in New Braunfels, adding to the city's expanding retail footprint. New Braunfels continues to be one of the fastest-growing cities in the U.S. by percentage, and retail developers are tracking residential rooftop growth to fuel commercial absorption. The Hill area (near the I-35 corridor) is an established retail node; new commercial additions signal continued developer confidence in NB's trade area depth and spending power. The project represents organic retail expansion driven by population absorption โ not speculative overbuilding.
BBM Relevance: Active retail development in NB is directly relevant to commercial pad viability on Wong Tract or any NB-adjacent site. Retail rooftop density is growing. If The Hill Marketplatz is absorbing commercial tenants north of downtown NB, it validates that QSR and neighborhood retail demand along NB's growth corridors is real โ not just theoretical.
๐ฐ Community Impact โ April 2, 2026
New Braunfels โ City Council Action
KB Home's 38-Acre New Braunfels Residential Plan Hits Wall at City Council โ Entitlement Risk Is Real
The San Antonio Business Journals reported March 29 that KB Home's 38-acre residential development proposal in New Braunfels ran into significant resistance at the city council level. While details of the specific objections weren't disclosed in the headline, the story signals that NB's council is not a rubber stamp โ density, design standards, infrastructure impact, and compatibility with the city's growth plan all matter. This follows a broader pattern of NB applying tighter scrutiny to residential development proposals as the city manages infrastructure capacity concerns alongside rapid population growth. KB Home is a major national builder, not a small unknown โ the pushback carries weight.
BBM Relevance: Direct strategic intelligence for Wong Tract entitlement. NB council can and does say no to big builders. This reinforces the importance of early community/staff alignment before any formal Wong Tract application. Understanding what specifically tripped KB Home (density? access? utilities?) would be valuable prep work before a council presentation. Worth having a local NB contact pull the council agenda item.
๐ฐ San Antonio Business Journals โ March 29, 2026
New Braunfels โ Residential Growth
Veramendi Expansion Approved: More Homes + 2nd Amenity Center Added to NB's Largest Master-Planned Community
Community Impact reported March 16 that the Veramendi master-planned community in New Braunfels received approval to add more homes and a second amenity center โ expanding what is already one of the city's flagship development projects. Veramendi spans thousands of acres west of I-35 and has been a bellwether for NB's residential growth market. The addition of a second amenity center signals that the community has grown to a scale requiring expanded infrastructure and that developers are confident in continued absorption. Veramendi competes with other large NB master-planned communities and its ongoing expansion keeps pressure on the broader NB submarket for land, utilities, and school capacity.
BBM Relevance: Veramendi's continued expansion confirms that NB residential absorption remains strong enough to justify ongoing buildout. More rooftops = more retail demand downstream. Veramendi is west of I-35; Wong Tract's position relative to NB's growth vectors matters for timing and competitive supply. Watch whether Veramendi's expansion shifts NB's growth axis in a direction that helps or competes with Wong Tract's target market.
๐ฐ Community Impact โ March 16, 2026
๐ Legislative & Policy
SB 840 / SB 2477 โ ETJ Multifamily Rights
Foley & Lardner Briefing: Texas SB 840 & SB 2477 Clarify ETJ Multifamily Entitlement Rights โ Legal Framework Solidifying
Foley & Lardner LLP published a formal client briefing (November 7, 2025) on Texas SB 840 and companion bill SB 2477 from the 89th Legislature, providing the most detailed legal analysis available on how these laws reshape multifamily development rights in Texas ETJs. SB 840 requires cities to allow multifamily in residential-designated ETJ areas by right; SB 2477 addresses related procedural and notice requirements. The briefing notes that city compliance has been uneven โ some are implementing in good faith, others are using administrative delay tactics โ but that courts have generally sided with the legislation's intent where challenged. The legal framework is maturing and developers with ETJ land positions are gaining clearer runway.
BBM Relevance: SB 840 is the legal backbone for ETJ multifamily entitlements on Wong Tract and East Slaughter Lane. With the legal framework solidifying and courts backing the legislation, HSRE's ETJ positions are increasingly defensible. If NB or Austin attempts to delay or deny ETJ MF approvals that SB 840 should protect, there's now clearer legal recourse. Worth having Kutak Rock (or another Texas land-use attorney) confirm how SB 840/2477 apply to the specific Wong Tract ETJ designation.
๐ฐ Foley & Lardner LLP โ November 7, 2025
๐ง Infrastructure & TxDOT
TxDOT โ FM 812 Corridor
FM 812 TxDOT $145M Improvement Project: Construction Window Remains 2027 โ No New 2026 Updates Found
The most recent public reporting on TxDOT's FM 812 improvement project remains the January and June 2024 KXAN coverage: TxDOT proposed a $145M upgrade to FM 812 (widening, safety improvements, intersection upgrades) with construction targeted to begin as early as 2027 pending final environmental clearance and funding allocation. As of this digest (April 15, 2026), no new public updates have emerged in news searches โ no construction start announcements, no revised timelines, and no project cancellations. The project appears to be in the environmental review / right-of-way acquisition phase, which typically runs 18โ36 months before construction. The 2027 construction window cited in 2024 coverage is still the operative expectation.
BBM Relevance: FM 812 improvements are a direct value driver for the Thaxton/BBM FM 812 property. A 2027 construction start (if it holds) means road improvements would be underway or complete by the time QSR pad development delivers. Confirmation that the project hasn't been cancelled or delayed is itself useful. For the most current status, TxDOT's Austin District project page or a direct call to the project manager would give the clearest picture. The Craig Biggar FM 812 amendment thread active this week (per email scan) may also contain project-specific intel worth reviewing.
๐ฐ KXAN Austin โ January & June 2024 (most recent available)