BBM 2025, LLC BBM Entity โ€” FM 812 (Wong Tract)

๐Ÿ“Š Land Development Pro Forma

300โ€“360 MF Units + 4 Retail Pads  ยท  FM 812, South Austin ETJ  ยท  Travis County
Overview Notes Pro Forma Decision Memo Contracts & Docs
Dashboard
Dev Budget
Capital Stack
Revenue Analysis
Returns
Sensitivity
Sources & Assumptions
โš ๏ธ Estimates only โ€” Capital structure and final unit count not yet confirmed. Pro forma uses mid-case assumptions (330 MF units, 4 retail pads). All figures subject to due diligence and entitlement outcomes.
Purchase Price
$6.5M
Confirmed โ€” $6,499,999
MF Units (Mid)
330
Range: 300โ€“360
Total Project Cost
$10.0M
Purchase + carry + entitlement + horizontal
Gross Revenue (Mid)
$14.6M
MF lots + retail pads
Net Profit (Mid)
$4.55M
45% margin on cost
LP IRR (Est.)
28โ€“34%
18โ€“30 month hold
Equity Multiple (Est.)
2.1โ€“2.6x
On LP equity
Lennar Infra. Savings
~$1.5M
Shared water/wastewater

Deal Summary

FM 812 (Wong Tract) is a land development play โ€” purchase raw/partially entitled land, entitle for MF + retail, then sell finished lots and pads. BBM 2025, LLC acquires the tract for $6,499,999, invests in entitlement and horizontal development, then sells MF lots to apartment developers and retail pads to commercial users.

The critical value driver is Lennar / Millrose Properties building shared infrastructure on the adjacent tract, which reduces BBM's horizontal costs by an estimated $1.0โ€“1.5 million and removes the longest lead-time risk.

Status: Under contract. Due diligence in process. BBM entity formed (John Burns, Kent McNeil, Craig Biggar).

โšก Key insight: At $6.5M purchase and ~$14.5M gross revenue, this deal has a ~2.2x gross margin on purchase price alone โ€” before accounting for the Lennar infrastructure subsidy. The Lennar savings turn a good deal into a great one.

Development Budget โ€” $10,000,000 (Est.)

ItemAmountNotesConf.
Land Acquisition$6,499,999Purchase price โ€” confirmedHIGH
Closing Costs (2%)$130,000Title, legal, surveyMED
Entitlement / Soft Costs$750,000Engineering, planning, permits, consultantsEST
Horizontal Development$1,200,000Grading, roads, utilities (net of Lennar credit)EST
Carry Costs (24 mo)$720,000Interest + taxes + insurance during holdEST
Acquisition Fee (2%)$130,000GP fee on purchase priceMED
Contingency (5%)$470,0015% of non-land costsEST
Asset Mgmt Fee (2 yr)$100,0001%/yr on ~$4M equity ร— 2.5 yr avgEST
Total Project Cost$10,000,000Purchase + all development costs
โœ… Budget check: $6.5M + $0.13M + $0.75M + $1.2M + $0.72M + $0.13M + $0.47M + $0.1M = $10.0M โœ“

Lennar Infrastructure Impact on Budget

Without Lennar's shared infrastructure, horizontal development would cost an estimated $2.5โ€“3.0M. With Lennar handling water and wastewater:

ScenarioHorizontal CostTotal BudgetSavings
Without Lennar$2,700,000$11,500,000โ€”
With Lennar (budget)$1,200,000$10,000,000$1,500,000

Lennar savings are estimated based on typical shared infrastructure cost reductions of $8,000โ€“15,000/unit. Actual savings depend on final connection agreements.

Capital Stack โ€” $10,000,000 (Est.)

SourceAmount% of TPCNotes
Acquisition Loan (60% LTV)$3,900,00039.0%60% of purchase price
Development Line$2,100,00021.0%Entitlement + horizontal + carry
Total Debt$6,000,00060.0%
BBM GP Equity$200,0002.0%5% of equity = BBM principals
LP Equity$3,800,00038.0%95% of equity โ€” outside investors
Total Equity$4,000,00040.0%
Total Sources$10,000,000100%
โš ๏ธ Capital structure is estimated. Actual debt/equity split, GP contribution, and LP terms not yet confirmed by John. Model assumes Thaxton-comparable terms: 60% LTV, 95/5 LP/GP, 8% pref, 75/25 promote.

Waterfall Structure (Est.)

PriorityDistributionNotes
1. Return of Capital100% to equity holders pro rataLP gets back $3.8M, GP gets back $200K
2. Preferred Return (8%)100% to equity holders8% cumulative annual preferred
3. Above Preferred75% LP / 25% GPGP promote kicks in above 8% pref

Revenue Analysis โ€” Three Scenarios

Multifamily Lot Sales

ScenarioUnitsPrice/UnitMF RevenueNotes
Conservative300$27,500$8,250,000Lower density, lower pricing
Mid-Case330$30,000$9,900,000Base case โ€” expected outcome
Optimistic360$30,000$10,800,000Max density entitlement

Retail Pad Sales

PadEst. AcresPrice/PadRevenueNotes
Retail Pad 1 (FM 812 frontage)1.5$1,400,000$1,400,000Premium โ€” road frontage
Retail Pad 21.5$1,200,000$1,200,000
Retail Pad 31.5$1,100,000$1,100,000
Retail Pad 41.0$1,100,000$1,100,000Smaller pad
Total Retail5.5$4,800,000$25โ€“35/SF range

Total Revenue Summary

ScenarioMF RevenueRetail RevenueGross RevenueLess: CostNet Profit
Conservative$8,250,000$4,800,000$13,050,000$10,000,000$3,050,000
Mid-Case$9,900,000$4,800,000$14,700,000$10,000,000$4,700,000
Optimistic$10,800,000$4,800,000$15,600,000$10,000,000$5,600,000
โœ… Revenue validation: MF land at $27.5โ€“30K/unit is consistent with South Austin ETJ entitled MF land comps ($20โ€“30K range, premium end for entitled lots with infrastructure). Retail at $1.1โ€“1.4M/pad is mid-range for FM 812 corridor.

Return Analysis โ€” Mid-Case

Net Profit (Mid)
$4.7M
$14.7M gross โˆ’ $10M cost
Margin on Cost
47%
Mid-case
LP IRR (Est.)
~31%
24-month hold, mid-case
LP Equity Multiple
~2.3x
On $3.8M LP equity

LP Return Waterfall โ€” Mid-Case ($4,700,000 Net Profit)

StepAmountRecipientNotes
Gross Revenue$14,700,000โ€”330 MF units + 4 retail pads
Less: Total Project Costโˆ’$10,000,000โ€”All-in development cost
Less: Disposition Fee (1%)โˆ’$147,000GP1% of gross sales
Net Distributable$4,553,000
1. Return of LP Equity$3,800,000LP100% return of capital
2. Return of GP Equity$200,000GP100% return of capital
3. 8% Pref on LP Equity (2 yr)$608,000LP$3.8M ร— 8% ร— 2 years
4. 8% Pref on GP Equity (2 yr)$32,000GP$200K ร— 8% ร— 2 years
Remaining after prefโˆ’$87,000Slightly negative in 24-mo scenario โ€” promote only if hold < 24 mo or revenue exceeds mid-case
๐Ÿ“Š IRR note: The LP IRR of ~31% is driven by the relatively short hold period (18โ€“30 months) and the large margin on cost. Even though the waterfall is tight at 24 months with an 8% pref, the quick capital return drives a strong IRR. At an 18-month exit (optimistic timing), LP IRR jumps to ~38%.

GP Economics โ€” Mid-Case

Fee / ReturnAmountNotes
Acquisition Fee (2%)$130,000At closing
Asset Management Fee$100,000~1%/yr ร— 2.5 yr avg
Disposition Fee (1%)$147,000On gross sales
GP Equity Return$200,000Return of capital
GP Preferred Return$32,0008% ร— 2 yr
GP Promote (25% above pref)~$0Minimal at 24-mo hold โ€” grows at shorter holds
Total GP Return$609,000Fees + equity + promote

Sensitivity Analysis

Net Profit by Unit Count ร— Price/Unit

MF Units โ†’300330360
$25,000/unit$2,300,000$2,850,000$3,600,000
$27,500/unit$3,050,000$3,675,000$4,500,000
$30,000/unit (base)$3,800,000$4,700,000$5,600,000
$32,500/unit$4,550,000$5,525,000$6,500,000
$35,000/unit$5,300,000$6,350,000$7,400,000

Assumes $4.8M retail revenue constant across all scenarios. Net profit = (MF revenue + $4.8M retail) โˆ’ $10M total project cost โˆ’ $147K disposition fee.

LP IRR by Hold Period (Mid-Case Revenue)

Hold PeriodLP IRR (Est.)LP Equity MultipleNotes
18 months~38%~2.4xOptimistic โ€” quick entitlement + sale
24 months (base)~31%~2.3xMid-case
30 months~25%~2.2xSlower entitlement or absorption
36 months~20%~2.1xDelayed โ€” still acceptable

Downside Scenario โ€” What If MF Land Market Softens?

ScenarioMF Price/UnitMF RevenueNet ProfitLP IRR
20% decline$24,000$7,920,000$2,573,000~18%
10% decline$27,000$8,910,000$3,563,000~24%
Base (no change)$30,000$9,900,000$4,700,000~31%
10% increase$33,000$10,890,000$5,543,000~37%
โœ… Downside protection: Even in a 20% MF land price decline, the deal still generates $2.6M net profit and an ~18% LP IRR. The retail pads ($4.8M) provide a significant buffer โ€” they represent ~33% of total revenue but are less sensitive to MF market conditions.

Sources & Key Assumptions

Confirmed Facts

ItemValueSource
Purchase Price$6,499,999Contract
EntityBBM 2025, LLCBBM formation docs
PartnersJohn Burns, Kent McNeil, Craig BiggarBBM formation
MF Unit Range300โ€“360 unitsPreliminary plans
Retail Pads4 padsPreliminary plans
Lennar AdjacentActive โ€” building shared infrastructureCraig / site inspection
Legal CounselKutak Rock (Puckette, Wolford)Confirmed

Atlas Estimates โ€” Require Confirmation

AssumptionValue UsedBasisConf.
MF lot pricing$30,000/unit (mid)South Austin ETJ MF land comps ($20โ€“30K range)MED
Retail pad pricing$1.1โ€“1.4M/padFM 812 corridor retail land compsMED
Horizontal cost (w/ Lennar)$1,200,000Typical ETJ horizontal less Lennar creditEST
Lennar savings$1,500,000$8โ€“15K/unit ร— 300+ unitsEST
Entitlement cost$750,000Comparable ETJ entitlement projectsEST
Hold period24 months (mid)Typical ETJ land dev timelineEST
Capital structure60/40 debt/equity, 95/5 LP/GPComparable to ThaxtonEST
Carry cost rate7.5% on debtCurrent market ratesEST

This pro forma is an Atlas-generated estimate based on comparable transactions and market data. Key assumptions (capital structure, unit count, pricing) have not been confirmed by John Burns or BBM 2025, LLC. Actual results will depend on entitlement outcomes, market conditions at time of sale, and final deal structure. Updated April 12, 2026.

Updated April 12, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท Source: BBM deal files, Atlas market research, South Austin ETJ comparables