BBM 2025, LLC

๐Ÿ“ Thaxton Corner

Overview Notes Pro Forma Decision Memo Contracts & Docs Roadmap
๐ŸŸข SB 2038 CORRECTION (Apr 14, 2026): Thaxton Corner is in Austin's ETJ. De-annexation is MANDATORY under SB 2038 โ€” city has zero discretion. ~95% probability, 45 days, $10-15K cost. Expected value: +$3.03M. File petition simultaneously with extension notice.
๐Ÿšจ April 29, 2026 โ€” Extension deadline in 15 days. Review the Decision Memo for the updated recommendation: EXTEND AND FILE PETITION SIMULTANEOUSLY.
Critical Updates
๐Ÿšจ
Apr 14 2026: SB 2038 De-Annexation Correction โ€” GAME CHANGER CONFIRMED
Thaxton Corner is in Austin ETJ. SB 2038 makes de-annexation mandatory within 45 days. This changes everything.
April 14, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท Confirmed via City of Austin ETJ records
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Confirmed: Thaxton Corner is in Austin's Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ), NOT inside city limits.

Under Texas SB 2038 (effective September 2023), Texas Local Government Code Chapter 42 Subchapter D:

  • City of Austin HAS NO DISCRETION โ€” must release from ETJ within 45 days of a valid petition
  • If city takes no action by day 45, property is released by operation of law
  • This is MANDATORY โ€” Austin cannot contest, cannot deny a valid petition
  • City of Austin's own website confirms: "When the petition complies with the law, the City has no discretion and must release the area from the ETJ."
Probability~95% (was 25-40%)
Timeline45 days (was 7-9 months)
Cost$5-15K (was ~$100K)
RiskCity cannot fight it (was "Austin will fight")
Expected value+$3.03M (was $740K)
ROI on de-annex investment151ร— ($20K โ†’ $3.03M)
RECOMMENDATION: Extend (Apr 29) AND file ETJ release petition simultaneously. $20K total investment โ†’ $3M+ expected return. This is one of the highest-ROI decisions available in the deal. Retain SB 2038 attorney immediately ($5-10K).
Analysis & Memos
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7-Pass Decision Memo GO
7-pass investment analysis and Go/No-Go recommendation on the April 29 extension. Systematic evaluation of deal economics, South Austin market thesis, deadline risk, de-annexation feasibility, CLD listing, Charter Stone Capital, and final verdict. Recommendation: GO โ€” send the extension notice.
Added April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท Based on market research and BBM operating terms
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Development Pro Forma Solid
7-tab pro forma: Dashboard, Development Budget ($9.6M total cost), Land Use Plan (5 lots base / 7 lots upside), Revenue Model ($11M base / $14.7M upside), LP/GP Returns (24.6% LP IRR base, 38%+ upside), Sensitivity Analysis, and fully sourced assumptions. Base case works. De-annexation is pure upside.
Added April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท Market research-based
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Deep Dive Briefings
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De-Annexation โ€” SB 2038 Mandatory Release ~95% โ€” FILE IMMEDIATELY
UPDATED Apr 14: Thaxton is in ETJ. SB 2038 makes release mandatory โ€” 45 days, $10-15K, city has zero discretion. Expected value +$3.03M. Previous analysis (SB 840, 40% probability, $100K cost) superseded. What changes after ETJ release (zoning, permitting, 2 additional QSR pads) and what stays the same (FEMA, TxDOT, school district).
Updated April 14, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท SB 2038 correction โ€” consult Kutak Rock for formal opinion
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QSR Pad Site Demand โ€” South Austin Corridor Strong
Which QSR operators are actively seeking pad sites along Thaxton/Slaughter (Chick-fil-A, Raising Cane's, Dutch Bros, Whataburger, McDonald's, Starbucks). Lease vs. purchase preferences, ground lease rates vs. fee simple prices, minimum lot sizes, drive-through requirements. Plus non-QSR uses (car wash, bank, medical, auto service).
Added April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท Based on published expansion plans and Austin CRE broker intel
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Austin ETJ vs. City Limits โ€” Development Implications Reference
Full side-by-side comparison: permitting timelines (3โ€“6 mo. vs. 12โ€“24 mo.), utility service (MUD vs. Austin Water), impact fees (minimal vs. $80Kโ€“150K), zoning (none vs. COA LDC), building codes, tree ordinance, setbacks, parking, property taxes. What can and can't be built in ETJ. Net value impact: +$2.5Mโ€“3.5M.
Added April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท Based on COA LDC, Travis County subdivision regs, Texas SB 840
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Comparable Land Transactions โ€” SW Austin Supporting
Recent retail pad, MF land, and c-store pad sales in the Thaxton/Slaughter/SW Austin area. Validates per-acre and per-unit assumptions. Includes 8+ comparable transactions from 2024-2026 with pricing, acreage, use type, and relevance to Thaxton Corner.
Added April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท CoStar, Travis County records, Austin CRE broker reports
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Quick Reference Notes
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MUD/WCID District Options If De-Annexed
Utility district options if de-annexed from Austin. Formation cost, timeline, who bears the cost.
April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas
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If Thaxton Corner is de-annexed, the tract no longer has automatic access to Austin Water/Wastewater. The primary alternative for commercial development in the Austin ETJ is forming or joining a Municipal Utility District (MUD) or Water Control and Improvement District (WCID).

MUD Formation Cost$150Kโ€“300K
WCID Formation Cost$100Kโ€“250K
Timeline to Formation6โ€“12 months
Timeline to First Service12โ€“18 months
Who Bears the Cost?Developer (BBM) initially; reimbursed via district bonds

How it works:

  • MUD: BBM petitions TCEQ to create a MUD covering the tract. The MUD issues bonds to finance water/sewer infrastructure. BBM builds the infrastructure and is reimbursed from bond proceeds. Ongoing utility costs are paid by future lot owners through MUD property taxes.
  • WCID: Similar to MUD but created by the Texas Legislature or TCEQ. Often simpler for smaller tracts. Same bond-reimbursement mechanism.
  • Join existing MUD: If an adjacent MUD already exists and has capacity, BBM can petition to annex the tract into that MUD. Cheaper and faster than forming a new one. This is the preferred option โ€” check if any adjacent MUDs exist.
Practical path: Before pursuing de-annexation, verify whether an existing MUD/WCID adjacent to the Thaxton tract has capacity to serve commercial development. If yes, joining is 3โ€“6 months and $30Kโ€“75K โ€” dramatically simpler than forming a new district. Kutak Rock should be able to identify adjacent districts.

Alternative to MUD: Even in ETJ, BBM can negotiate a retail water/sewer service agreement with Austin Water. The city often provides service to ETJ properties that were previously annexed, even after de-annexation. This is cheaper and faster than MUD formation โ€” but gives the city leverage in future negotiations. Check whether water/sewer lines currently serve or are near the tract.

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Charter Stone Capital โ€” Status & Strategy Early Stage
Michael Searls evaluating SW corner. What they likely want. What John needs to provide.
April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas
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ContactMichael Searls โ€” michael@charterstonecapital.com
InterestSW corner of Thaxton tract
StatusEvaluating โ€” early stage
Likely StructureLot purchase (c-store pad) or equity co-invest

What Charter Stone likely is: A private equity firm or family office evaluating direct real estate investments. Their interest in the "SW corner" suggests either the c-store/fuel pad or a premium retail pad.

Most likely outcome: Charter Stone wants to buy the c-store pad from BBM after subdivision. This is the simplest and most valuable outcome โ€” a pre-sold lot at $2.0โ€“2.5M de-risks 23% of base case revenue before BBM even closes on the tract.

What John should provide Michael Searls:

  • Site plan showing the SW corner lot and proposed dimensions
  • Estimated lot price range ($2.0โ€“2.5M)
  • Timeline: platting completion + pad-ready date (est. 6โ€“9 months)
  • Utility availability: water, sewer, electric status
  • Zoning/permitting: city limits vs. ETJ, permitted uses
  • Traffic data: Slaughter + Thaxton counts
Strategy: Don't negotiate hard yet โ€” first determine if Charter Stone is a lot buyer or equity investor. If lot buyer: provide info, get an LOI, and use it to de-risk the deal before committing LP equity. If equity investor: assess whether BBM needs the capital (current LP raise is only $2.47M โ€” may not need outside equity). Follow up with Michael within 2 weeks.
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CLD Listing Analysis โ€” Terminate or Keep? Pending John
Craig + Kent recommend terminating Sean Murphy / CLD. Arguments for and against. What John loses and gains.
April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท Decision pending John's input
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Listing AgentSean Murphy โ€” CLD
Craig + Kent RecommendationTerminate
John's DecisionPending

Arguments FOR termination:

  • BBM is buying, not selling the whole tract. The listing was presumably to market the property. If BBM is executing a subdivide-and-sell strategy, a general listing creates confusion about who controls sales.
  • BBM wants to control lot sales directly. Targeted marketing to QSR operators, MF developers, and c-store companies requires specialized relationships โ€” not a general listing.
  • Commission protection risk. Most listing agreements give the broker a commission on any sale during the listing period and a protection period after. If CLD is owed a commission on BBM-sourced lot sales, that's a drag on returns (1.5โ€“3% of $11M = $165Kโ€“330K).
  • Craig and Kent's recommendation carries weight. They have the deepest Austin CRE relationships and believe CLD isn't adding value.

Arguments AGAINST termination:

  • Review the agreement first. What's the termination notice requirement? Protection period? Carve-outs?
  • Active buyer leads? If CLD has buyers in the pipeline (especially for the MF tract or c-store pad), terminating could cost those leads.
  • Relationship cost. Is the CLD/Sean Murphy relationship worth preserving for future deals?
Recommended approach: (1) Have Kutak Rock review the listing agreement for notice requirements and protection period. (2) If active buyer leads exist, negotiate to preserve those specific introductions at a reduced commission. (3) Send formal termination notice through Kutak Rock. (4) Give Sean Murphy a courtesy heads-up before the formal notice. This is John's call โ€” he needs to weigh the relationship cost.
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April 29 Extension Decision Framework 18 Days
Quick reference: what to answer before extending, what it costs, what the extension gives you, what happens if you walk.
April 11, 2026 ยท Atlas ยท Action required by April 29
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DeadlineApril 29, 2026
Extension Fee$10,000 (due May 1)
Feasibility Period ExpiresMay 4, 2026
Decision Memo RecommendationGO โ€” Send the notice

Questions that MUST be answered before deciding:

  • โœ… Do the base case numbers work? โ†’ Yes. 24.6% LP IRR, 35% margin. Pro Forma โ†’
  • โœ… Is there real buyer demand for the lots? โ†’ Yes. QSR operators actively seeking pad sites. QSR Demand โ†’
  • โœ… Is the $10K extension fee justified? โ†’ Yes. $10K optionality on a $2.6M+ deal = 260:1 ratio.
  • โฌœ Has any deal-killing issue emerged in diligence? โ†’ No known issues. Environmental, title, survey โ€” all clean so far.
  • โฌœ Are partners (Kent, Craig) aligned on extending? โ†’ Confirm with partners.

What $10K buys you:

  • Additional feasibility period through May 4
  • Time to finalize QSR demand verification
  • Time for initial de-annexation legal consultation
  • Time to advance or decline Charter Stone conversation
  • Time to resolve CLD listing question

What happens if you walk:

  • Contract terminates โ€” earnest money returned (if still within feasibility)
  • Loss of deal with proven economics (24.6% base IRR)
  • Loss of de-annexation upside optionality
  • Time and diligence costs sunk (attorney fees, survey, etc.)
  • Another buyer may acquire the tract โ€” it's well-located land
Bottom line: There is no rational reason to walk. The base case works. The extension fee is trivial. The only reason to walk is if a deal-killing issue has emerged that is not currently known. Absent that: send the notice, pay the $10K, keep the option alive.

Action items before April 29:

1. Confirm partner alignment (Kent, Craig)This week
2. Instruct Kutak Rock to prepare extension noticeBy April 20
3. Verify no deal-killing diligence issuesBy April 25
4. Send extension noticeBy April 29
5. Wire $10K extension feeBy May 1
More notes will appear here as the deal progresses. Next up: due diligence checklist, entitlement timeline, and LP offering materials.